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August 23, 2022

Cash Is TRASH

Written by 

Jeff Huston

I recently saw a sign that said: “Modern man is one who drives a mortgaged car on a bond-financed highway with credit card gas.” It’s no secret, the US has a debt problem.


Actually, the whole world has a debt problem. In fact, the world’s debt is currently 400% of the GDP. On May 23rd of this year, the IMF released a statement that said: “The world is facing the greatest headwinds since WWII.”

 

Historically, debt cycles typically run 75 to 100 years. Right now, we are peaking in one. Governments have 4 choices as to what they can do when the top pf a debt cycle is reached.


1.    Austerity (they can lower expenses and balance the budget)


2.    Restructure the debt


3.    Default on obligations (interesting fact, Japan holds 18.28% and China holds 14.87% of all US debt)


4.    Print money and deficit spend, which bails out the people

 

Each choice has consequences. It is tempting to simply turn a blind eye to what’s happening around us, because everything seems so out of our control. Being willing to look at the Macro signs is critical to ensuring you are positioned correctly to economically survive and even thrive.

 

We are naturally drawn to look at or focus on micro signs around us. Here is what this might look like:


#1. Standing at the gas pump trying to figure out why it’s costing you so much;


#2. Chewing on a chicken leg and complaining about how expensive it is. Macro signs are more difficult to see because we are immersed in them…like a fish in water. They are invisible. A fish doesn’t know what water is because it is their environment.

 

Which of the above four choices do you think will most likely occur? I ask because it’s important. In fact, Fortunes will be made and lost on the answer to that question. If you even slightly care about the health of your finances, I implore you to consider the government’s likely choice.

 

If you believe (like I do) that they will print money and deficit spend (option 4), consider this example I recently heard of what the Fed printing money looks like:

 

“If I have the only bottle of water within 100 miles and you are really thirsty…I mean you are dying of thirst…You’d likely be willing to pay a lot of money for that one bottle. But if I have 5 bottles, you might buy all 5, but you’d probably negotiate to pay less. If I have 1M bottles, you won’t pay much at all…because there’s so many of them.”

 

This illustrates what is currently happening and it explains why Cash is Trash. As I wrote in last month’s letter, most banks are not significantly raising deposit rates because their balance sheets are flooded with cash. Many banks are now saying they don’t even want more deposits. If that’s true, why would they pay higher interest to attract more of them?

 

All this brings us back to a statement I’ve made before…“the right real estate managed by the right team, is about as good as it gets for growing and protecting your wealth in uncertain times.”


One final thought, if you still have money invested in the markets, remember that the
bull goes up by the stairs and the bear goes out the window. Now might be a great time to consider taking profits off the table and redeploying them to risk-adjusted options. Give us a call, we’d love to have a conversation with you. We have a couple opportunities we are raising funds for.

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A Time For Prayer
By Jeff Huston January 11, 2024
If you’ve been listening to me and reading my letters, you know that I highly value personal Freedom. Increasing freedom in my life and the lives of those around me is a driving force in why I continue to do what I do. I view freedom in four core areas. Freedom of time, money, relationship, and purpose. This month I’d like to talk about freedom of money. This can be a difficult topic to discuss because we all have different experiences and paradigms about how to manage, grow, invest, and protect money. The Bible has a lot to say about money. It’s the most frequently discussed topic in both the Old and New Testament. Psalm 62:10 says, “though your riches increase, do not set your heart on them.” The danger is not necessarily in “having material things” but rather in “setting our heart on them.” We’re warned in 1 John 5:21, “Dear children, keep yourselves from idols.” I never really saw how that verse applied to me. I mean, I don’t have graven images or carvings of physical idols laying around! I don’t have anything like that to worship or admire. However, when I read the verse in the New Living Translation (NLT), it comes alive to me in a fresh way. NLT says, “Dear children, keep away from anything that might take God’s place in your hearts.” This translation helps me realize that idols in my life can be more than just graven images. An idol is anything that takes God’s place in my heart. Thinking about it that way… I probably have the potential for many idols in my life. The danger with money is it can easily take too high of a place in our hearts. One thing that’s helped me to guard against this is to think more wholistically about my assets. Several years ago, I was introduced to an idea by a friend of mine who was coaching me on some money matters. As I discussed my assets with him, my list included investments, money in bank accounts, real estate, business equity, etc. Those were the things I consider to be my assets. He agreed that yes, those were indeed, all assets, but he suggested that I had other assets I hadn’t thought about or taken the time to recognize the value of. He taught me to think of my assets in four different categories…or quadrants. The first quadrant is Core Assets. Core Assets include our relationships, health, values, integrity, worldview, faith, belief system, etc. These are all at the core of who we are, and are in fact, assets (if we are willing to recognize them as such). The second quadrant is Educational and Experiential Assets . Formal education is an asset. You also have life experiences…both good and bad. Personally, I’ve learned more from my failures than I have from my successes. I love the quote from Hellen Keller, “A bend in the road is not the end of the road unless you fail to make the turn.” The “turns” we’ve learned to make in life are all a part of our experiential assets. We should strive to be life-long learners. Living wisely is the goal! Our life education and our life experiences help us to live skillfully, and those learned skills are valuable assets too. The third quadrant is Charitable and Community Assets . These are things that we give time and money to that are outside of us, they have purpose that extends beyond our individual lives. Things we participate in or volunteer our time for. How we live out our faith, etc. The writer of the Book of James admonishes us to act on what we believe. These actions and beliefs are very personal in nature. Therefore, they are extremely valuable assets. Finally, we have the Financial Assets quadrant. This quadrant includes the things most of us consider assets. So, if you wrote down a list of all the things that you value in each of these quadrants, wouldn’t that represent a more complete picture of your net worth vs just financial assets minus liabilities? Your wholistic net worth is the sum total of all 4 quadrants. There is one final part to this exercise…Let’s say that I waved a magic wand and everything you listed in these 4 quadrants disappeared. In other words, you are bankrupt. You don’t have your health, you’ve lost all your relationships, you don’t have your faith, your education, the experiences you’ve learned from, no money, ALL IS GONE! You are broke in totality. Now, let’s say out of the goodness of my heart, I wave the wand and let you pick only one of the four quadrants to get back. Which would you choose to get back first? If you’re like most people, you’re going to choose your Core Assets (relationships, health, values, integrity, worldview, faith, belief system, etc.) Let’s go one step further. I’m going to wave the wand again and give you one additional quadrant back…but only one! What’s the second one you’d choose? From experience, when doing this with other people, most choose their Educational and Experiential Assets. It’s interesting that we intuitively know that if we have our Core, and Educational/Experiential Assets, most of us could rebuild our Financial and Charitable/Community Assets. I started this letter talking about freedom as it relates to money. If we view our assets as just piling up more money, we’re probably missing out on the abundant life Jesus talks about. Sincerely, Jeff Huston and the 3D Money Team 320-905-3306 invest@3dmoney.com P.S. One final thought. Forget ESG investing! It’s a foolish idea! Most of you know how I feel about the subject. Contrarily, 3D Money is committed to Kii investing (“Kingdom Impact Investing.) In other words, we consistently look for ways to have Kingdom Impact through the real estate investments we purchase and the profits we make. If you’re fed up with the rigged game of Wall Street and the unstable US banking system, we have several cash flowing real estate opportunities we are raising money for. We’d love to tell you more!
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