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September 7, 2023

Reoccurring Questions

Written by 

Jeff Huston

As I write this, I’ve just returned from a series of investor dinner meetings in California. I love being involved and presenting at these events, because I get to be with you in person. My favorite part of each event is the Q&A time. When I open the floor, and you ask questions that are pressing on your minds. 


There are three reoccurring questions that you’ve been bringing up at our events, and as we speak with you over the phone.

  1. Banking Crisis: Is it affecting our business model?
  2. Real Estate market conditions: How would a potential downturn or crash affect us?
  3. The coming reality of Digital Currency: What will that mean for us?


These are all huge topics. I could write a book on each one of them, but here are some of my summarized thoughts.


The Banking Crisis

First, there is a banking crisis at hand. That truth is not being openly talked about enough in the media. I realize the public narrative needs to protect the system from panic. However, it doesn’t diminish the fact that signs of a looming crisis are all around us. 


For instance, Moody’s Rating Service recently downgraded ten regional banks and put sixteen more on notice. Moody cited “deteriorating collateral for outstanding loans and other issues.” The rating reduction will make it more expensive for these lenders to borrow funds.
 
Banks are facing issues on two fronts. First, they are facing unrealized losses in their bond portfolios. We’ve discussed this before. As rates have risen, the value of the low interest US Treasuries being held by banks have fallen significantly. In other words, the market value of their bonds has fallen. So,
if they sell, the result will be significant loss.


The second issue is the declining value of the commercial real estate banks hold loans on. Specifically, office buildings. Remote work is the new normal. As downtown leases come up for renewal, tenants are either closing offices or substantially reducing the square footage they need. This has resulted in falling rents. When you combine that with rising refinancing rates, building owners have plenty of reason to turn their keys over to the bank and walk away. Hence the decision by Moody’s to downgrade. Be very cautious of a bank offering a CD interest rate that seems too good to be true and think twice about having deposits in a bank that exceed the FDIC Insurance limits ($250,000).


Fortunately, the only office real estate 3D Money is invested in is 100% occupied by our own purposes. All our other real estate is either work force housing, industrial manufacturing, or agricultural. All are very defensive in nature. Therefore, we believe to be well insulated from a potential downturn in values. This brings us to the second area you are talking to us about.


Real Estate Market Conditions

As I stated in last month’s letter, real estate is the “800-pound gorilla,” because it is the largest asset class. Half of global wealth is in real estate. But the thing is, it’s hard to define real estate as a single asset class. There are many kinds of real estate separated by an unlimited number of geographic and demographic anomalies. For instance, you can have a property on one side of the road that is in a desirable location, while the other side of the road is not. This plays out in infinite ways. As mentioned above, 3D Money has strategically chosen real estate that we believe is highly insulated from market fluctuations. Rental income has a high degree of stability and resilience associated with it. For this reason, we do not foresee a national downturn in real estate values having a negative effect on our business model. Systemic liquidity and a contraction in lending are currently our biggest challenge. However, this has had minimal impact on our existing portfolio, as our loans are at long term fixed rates.


Digital Currency 

It’s impossible to address this question without discussing certain Spiritual realities. If you are a Jesus Follower and have read “the Book,” you know how this world ends. There will be one world government! There will be one world currency! The Anti-Christ will demand that you take a numeric mark, basically pledging alliance to him. That “mark” will logically be connected and tracked through digital means. Failure to comply will prevent you from doing commerce. 


This is not to say that Fed Now or other digital currencies currently proposed are the end game. However, we would be naive to not see them as forerunners to that eventual end. This truth cannot be avoided. Therefore, as a Jesus Follower, first and foremost, I must place myself at the mercy of our loving and gracious Heavenly Father. Our entire future is dependent on His Sovereignty!


Having said that, we still need to be vigilant and prudent. I apologize if the following statement seems self-serving, but I truly believe hard assets are the best safe harbor to what’s coming. This is why our investment focus is where it is! We are in an age of “real stuff,” and we can expect tangibles to provide greater security and privacy in the digital currency future we face. We are obviously strong supporters of investing in real estate. However, gold, silver, art, classic cars, wine, antiques, etc. are also “real things” that will be increasingly utilized for trade and commerce as governments relentlessly pursue control over every aspect of our lives. In summary, digital currency is an eventuality that we cannot stop. That said, we can take certain preemptive actions to protect ourselves.


I close with this good news from Jesus: “I am the vine; you are the branches. If you remain in me and I in you, you will bear much fruit; apart from me you can do nothing.” John 


Abiding in Faith,

Jeff Huston and the 3D Money Team

invest@3dmoney.com 

320-905-3306


By Jeff Huston January 1, 2025
Welcome to 2025!
By Jeff Huston August 20, 2024
A Time For Prayer
By Jeff Huston January 11, 2024
If you’ve been listening to me and reading my letters, you know that I highly value personal Freedom. Increasing freedom in my life and the lives of those around me is a driving force in why I continue to do what I do. I view freedom in four core areas. Freedom of time, money, relationship, and purpose. This month I’d like to talk about freedom of money. This can be a difficult topic to discuss because we all have different experiences and paradigms about how to manage, grow, invest, and protect money. The Bible has a lot to say about money. It’s the most frequently discussed topic in both the Old and New Testament. Psalm 62:10 says, “though your riches increase, do not set your heart on them.” The danger is not necessarily in “having material things” but rather in “setting our heart on them.” We’re warned in 1 John 5:21, “Dear children, keep yourselves from idols.” I never really saw how that verse applied to me. I mean, I don’t have graven images or carvings of physical idols laying around! I don’t have anything like that to worship or admire. However, when I read the verse in the New Living Translation (NLT), it comes alive to me in a fresh way. NLT says, “Dear children, keep away from anything that might take God’s place in your hearts.” This translation helps me realize that idols in my life can be more than just graven images. An idol is anything that takes God’s place in my heart. Thinking about it that way… I probably have the potential for many idols in my life. The danger with money is it can easily take too high of a place in our hearts. One thing that’s helped me to guard against this is to think more wholistically about my assets. Several years ago, I was introduced to an idea by a friend of mine who was coaching me on some money matters. As I discussed my assets with him, my list included investments, money in bank accounts, real estate, business equity, etc. Those were the things I consider to be my assets. He agreed that yes, those were indeed, all assets, but he suggested that I had other assets I hadn’t thought about or taken the time to recognize the value of. He taught me to think of my assets in four different categories…or quadrants. The first quadrant is Core Assets. Core Assets include our relationships, health, values, integrity, worldview, faith, belief system, etc. These are all at the core of who we are, and are in fact, assets (if we are willing to recognize them as such). The second quadrant is Educational and Experiential Assets . Formal education is an asset. You also have life experiences…both good and bad. Personally, I’ve learned more from my failures than I have from my successes. I love the quote from Hellen Keller, “A bend in the road is not the end of the road unless you fail to make the turn.” The “turns” we’ve learned to make in life are all a part of our experiential assets. We should strive to be life-long learners. Living wisely is the goal! Our life education and our life experiences help us to live skillfully, and those learned skills are valuable assets too. The third quadrant is Charitable and Community Assets . These are things that we give time and money to that are outside of us, they have purpose that extends beyond our individual lives. Things we participate in or volunteer our time for. How we live out our faith, etc. The writer of the Book of James admonishes us to act on what we believe. These actions and beliefs are very personal in nature. Therefore, they are extremely valuable assets. Finally, we have the Financial Assets quadrant. This quadrant includes the things most of us consider assets. So, if you wrote down a list of all the things that you value in each of these quadrants, wouldn’t that represent a more complete picture of your net worth vs just financial assets minus liabilities? Your wholistic net worth is the sum total of all 4 quadrants. There is one final part to this exercise…Let’s say that I waved a magic wand and everything you listed in these 4 quadrants disappeared. In other words, you are bankrupt. You don’t have your health, you’ve lost all your relationships, you don’t have your faith, your education, the experiences you’ve learned from, no money, ALL IS GONE! You are broke in totality. Now, let’s say out of the goodness of my heart, I wave the wand and let you pick only one of the four quadrants to get back. Which would you choose to get back first? If you’re like most people, you’re going to choose your Core Assets (relationships, health, values, integrity, worldview, faith, belief system, etc.) Let’s go one step further. I’m going to wave the wand again and give you one additional quadrant back…but only one! What’s the second one you’d choose? From experience, when doing this with other people, most choose their Educational and Experiential Assets. It’s interesting that we intuitively know that if we have our Core, and Educational/Experiential Assets, most of us could rebuild our Financial and Charitable/Community Assets. I started this letter talking about freedom as it relates to money. If we view our assets as just piling up more money, we’re probably missing out on the abundant life Jesus talks about. Sincerely, Jeff Huston and the 3D Money Team 320-905-3306 invest@3dmoney.com P.S. One final thought. Forget ESG investing! It’s a foolish idea! Most of you know how I feel about the subject. Contrarily, 3D Money is committed to Kii investing (“Kingdom Impact Investing.) In other words, we consistently look for ways to have Kingdom Impact through the real estate investments we purchase and the profits we make. If you’re fed up with the rigged game of Wall Street and the unstable US banking system, we have several cash flowing real estate opportunities we are raising money for. We’d love to tell you more!
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